{"id":12140,"date":"2026-06-22T10:20:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T07:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/?p=12140"},"modified":"2026-06-22T10:20:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T07:20:00","slug":"a-decade-after-brexit-the-populist-promise-turned-out-to-be-false","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/?p=12140","title":{"rendered":"A Decade After Brexit &#8211; The Populist Promise Turned Out to Be False"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On June 23, 2016, <b>British <\/b>voters chose to leave the European Union,  sending shockwaves across the continent.<\/p>\n<p> To mark the anniversary, the<b> Bertelsmann Foundation <\/b>(Bertelsmann Stiftung) released <b>exclusive <\/b>data from public opinion surveys conducted over the past ten years in<b> the United Kingdom<\/b> and the<b> European Union<\/b>. The findings show that <b>Brexit <\/b>did not cause further fragmentation of the <b>EU <\/b>, nor did it lead to a permanent divergence between British and European public opinion. Instead, they signal a shared preference for realistic cooperation.<\/p>\n<p>Fears that <b>Brexit <\/b>would trigger a broader <b>exit <\/b>from the <b>EU <\/b>never materialized. In <b>March 2026<\/b>, only <b>21%<\/b> of Britons and <b>18% <\/b>of EU citizens believed that other member states would follow the example of the <b>United Kingdom<\/b> and <b>leave <\/b>the Union; less than half the percentage recorded in <b> March 2018<\/b>. While the result of the 2016 Brexit referendum was close, such a majority has not reappeared since then. When asked<b> how they would vote <\/b>in a referendum on EU membership, more than <b>50%<\/b> of Britons have consistently stated over the past ten years that they would vote to <b>remain<\/b>. The most recent figures, from March 2026, show a steady majority in favor of <b>remaining<\/b>, at 57%.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>The <b>populist <\/b>promise that people would be better off after <b>Brexit <\/b>proved to be false. Shortly after the <b>referendum<\/b>, Britons were relatively optimistic about their future outside the EU. A decade later, that optimism about Brexit has collapsed. In <b>March 2026, only 41%<\/b> of Britons said they felt positive about their personal situation in the future, marking a decline of 21 percentage points. Overall, the early optimism about Brexit has given way to a wave of pessimism in the <b>United Kingdom.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Brexit has not created a permanent <b>psychological divide <\/b>between <b>British and European public opinion<\/b>. For ten years, Britons and continental Europeans have increasingly shared common concerns and expectations regarding the future of Europe. In March 2026, their attitudes were remarkably similar: support for a stronger EU role in global affairs stood at <b>66%<\/b> in the United Kingdom and <b>71% <\/b>across the EU; roughly half of respondents on both sides viewed the EU positively, and levels of satisfaction with <b>democracy<\/b>democracy<\/b> as well as <b>perceptions <\/b>of the EU\u2019s direction were nearly identical.<\/p>\n<p><b>Jake Benford,<\/b> a specialist at the<b> Bertelsmann Stiftung<\/b> for the <b>United Kingdom,<\/b> says: \u201cThe public has moved faster than politics. Citizens are increasingly recognizing that European fragmentation comes at a cost:<b> less security, less resilience, and less influence in the world<\/b>. The question is whether politicians can move beyond the divisions of the past and respond to this growing public realism.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Florian Kommer,<\/b> a Europe expert at<b> Bertelsmann Stiftung<\/b>, commented: \u201cIn <b>2016<\/b>, many believed that the Brexit referendum marked the beginning of the end for the<b> European Union<\/b>. A <b>decade later<\/b>, the picture looks very different. Our findings show that the scope<b> for EU-UK cooperation<\/b> may be broader today than is often assumed.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On June 23, 2016, British voters chose to leave the European Union, sending shockwaves across the continent. To &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12141,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12140","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12140","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12140"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12140\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12141"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12140"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12140"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12140"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}