{"id":1298,"date":"2026-04-18T09:24:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T06:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/?p=1298"},"modified":"2026-04-18T09:24:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T06:24:00","slug":"eurostat-fiscal-outperformance-a-defence-against-the-crisis-positive-forecasts-for-greece","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/?p=1298","title":{"rendered":"Eurostat: fiscal outperformance, a defence against the crisis &#8211; Positive forecasts for Greece"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"510\" data-end=\"798\"> Positive news on the <b>economy<\/b> is expected for Greece next Wednesday (4\/22), when the final figures for the <strong data-start=\"615\" data-end=\"639\">primary surplus<\/strong> for 2025 will be released. <\/p>\n<p data-end=\"798\" data-start=\"510\">This data will form the basis for subsequent interventions to support citizens against the <b>impact<\/b> of the <b>crisis<\/b> in the Middle East. <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"800\" data-end=\"1040\">On <b>April 22,<\/b> announcements from Eurostat and ELSTAT are expected to confirm a fourth consecutive year of exceeding targets. Already, the finance minister, <strong data-start=\"970\" data-end=\"994\">Kyriakos Pierrakakis<\/strong>, has foreshadowed an upward revision. <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1042\" data-end=\"1321\">Internationally reported estimates suggest the surplus may move closer to <strong data-start=\"1134\" data-end=\"1157\">4.8%-4.9% of GDP<\/strong>, higher than the initial target of 3.7%. At the same time, there are indications that this positive trend will continue into 2026, surpassing the target of <strong data-start=\"1312\" data-end=\"1320\">2.8%<\/strong>. <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1323\" data-end=\"1626\">In the same vein, the <b>International Monetary Fund<\/b> in its report on Greece ( Fiscal Monitor) this week predicted high primary surpluses for 2025 and for the next six years and a dynamic <b>reduction<\/b> in <b>debt<\/b> to <b>110,9% <\/b>of<\/b> the <b>AER<\/b>P at the end of 2031 from 145.7% in 2025. In terms of the primary surplus, the IMF estimates it to be 4.4% in 2025, 3.8% in 2026 and 3.1% in 2027 and 2028, respectively. <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1628\" data-end=\"1890\">A crucial factor for this picture is the <strong data-start=\"1680\" data-end=\"1692\">growth<\/strong> of the Greek economy. Despite pressures from the energy crisis and the war raging in the <b>Middle East<\/b>, increased revenues &#8211; especially from the <b>fight<\/b> against <strong data-start=\"1844\" data-end=\"1860\">tax evasion<\/strong> &#8211; are boosting <b>public coffers.<\/b> <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1892\" data-end=\"2049\">Based on these facts, the government is planning the continuation of the support measures. The aim is to address increases in <strong data-start=\"2017\" data-end=\"2029\">energy<\/strong> and <strong data-start=\"2034\" data-end=\"2048\">inflation<\/strong>. <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2051\" data-end=\"2228\"> However, the European spending rule will also be taken into account when determining the available <strong data-start=\"2092\" data-end=\"2116\">fiscal space<\/strong>. The scope of the new interventions will depend on this. <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2230\" data-end=\"2431\">Two<i> <\/i><i><b>two<\/b><i> <\/i><b>support packages have already been activated. <\/b>They include caps on profit margins on <strong data-start=\"2321\" data-end=\"2332\">fuel<\/strong> and basic goods, as well as subsidies such as the <strong data-start=\"2381\" data-end=\"2394\">fuel pass<\/strong> and aid for <strong data-start=\"2417\" data-end=\"2430\">fuel<\/strong>. <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2433\" data-end=\"2698\">Further on, the amount of space available and the length of the crisis will determine the decisions. As <strong data-start=\"2563\" data-end=\"2587\">Kyriakos Pierrakakis<\/strong> said, interventions will be adjusted depending on developments in the region, particularly in the <strong data-start=\"2677\" data-end=\"2697\">Sea of Hormuz<\/strong>. <\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2700\" data-end=\"2854\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Finally, he stressed that time will play a crucial role as the reaction will be different if the crisis ends soon or if it is prolonged for months. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\n    Positive news on the economy is expected for Greece next Wednesday (22\/4), when the final figures for the Greek economy will be released.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1299,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1298"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1298\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1299"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}