{"id":3876,"date":"2026-05-04T14:36:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T11:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/?p=3876"},"modified":"2026-05-04T14:36:00","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T11:36:00","slug":"yannis-stournaras-risk-of-recession-in-the-eurozone-is-real","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/?p=3876","title":{"rendered":"Yannis Stournaras: Risk of recession in the Eurozone is real"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The concern about the possibility of recession in the <b>Eurozone <\/b>is real and <b>justified<\/b>, according to the governor of Bank of Greece,<\/b> <b>Giannis Stournaras<\/b> in an interview published in Phileleftheros of Cyprus.<\/p>\n<p>As he says, &#8220;concern about the potential <b>recession<\/b> in the eurozone is real and <b>justified<\/b>, given the new negative supply-side disruption caused by the escalating conflict in<b> Middle East.<\/b> Rising energy<\/a><\/b> prices<\/b> and growing uncertainty are directly affecting growth and <b>inflation<\/b>, given the high energy dependence of the Eurozone.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike in <b>2022<\/b>, the rise in inflation is occurring in an environment of already<b>weaker growth<\/b>, tighter <b>financial conditions<\/b> and reduced fiscal space, which limits <b>policy space<\/b> and makes economies more vulnerable. Although the euro area <b>economy<\/b> has shown <b>resilience<\/b>, its momentum remains subdued, with <b>growth<\/b> slowing from around<b> 1.4% in 2025 to 0.9% in 2026,<\/b>according to the ECB&#8217;s March forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>The alternative scenarios worked out by the <b>ECB<\/b> highlight the predominance of downside <b>risks<\/b> to growth. At this stage, however, we are not in the adverse scenario, as the relative geopolitical de-escalation has contained the more extreme developments. However, in the event of a failure of <b>negotiations<\/b> and a resumption of hostilities, the risk of a recession remains possible, without being the baseline scenario.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>With regard to the impact that the current <b>geopolitical uncertainty<\/b> may have on both the cost of funding and the quality of banks&#8217; loan portfolios, Mr. Stournaras estimated that we are likely to see an increase in the flow of new non-performing <b>loans<\/b>, especially coming from <b>vulnerable<\/b> households or from companies in sectors sensitive to changes in <b>energy<\/b> prices.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>He even did not rule out in an <b>unfavourable scenario,<\/b> that there could be <b>increased financing costs<\/b> due to volatility in markets and a revision of banks&#8217; business plans due to lower demand for new loans. However, he stressed that both Greek and Cypriot banks, as well as European banks, are entering this period of heightened uncertainty with strong fundamentals&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>On the functioning of institutions in Greece, he argued that despite clear progress, strengthening citizens&#8217; trust in the state requires faster and more effective administration of justice, stronger accountability, full implementation of transparency rules, and <b>firmly addressing phenomena of corruption<\/b> and administrative inefficiency.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The concern about the possibility of a recession in the eurozone is justified and justified, Bank of Greece Governor Yannis Stournaras said in a &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3877,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3876","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3876"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3876\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3877"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3876"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3876"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3876"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}