Analysts and pollsters are converging on the view of a battle for second place between Tsipras, Androulakis, and perhaps Carstianos<\/b>.<\/p>\n
The fact that the needle of PASOK – as well as Nikos Androulakis in terms of his suitability for prime minister – is not coming unstuck, but also that the data recorded for the parties under establishment of Alexis Tsipras and Maria Karustianou don’t have the… air to cause dramatic political changes,<\/b> confirm that in the national elections will be a battle for second place.<\/p>\n
At this point things are almost known, always based on surveys and forecasts as to the dynamics recorded by these three parties, combined of course with the primacy of ND and Kyriakos Mitsotakis and the double score -at best for the opposition- in the difference with the second party, which is currently PASOK of Nikos Androulakis<\/b>.<\/p>\n
The question that arises – with the answer beginning to take shape officially in the polls after the two parties are expected to be established – is this battle that will be fought. That is, whether the battle will be fought in some percentages that will register some momentum for the second party or whether it will be fought in percentages that will confirm the impossibility of the emergence and registration of a second pole on the central political scene.<\/b><\/p>\n
Taking as a given the percentages recorded by PASOK, which – at its best – have a ceiling of 15% to 16% in the vote estimate and around 11% to 12%<\/b> in the intention, the percentage that the second party will record in the polls is important.<\/p>\n
For example, if the battle is fought around 12% then it is understandable that not only the third or fourth party but also the second party will start to deconstruct.<\/b>And why do we average this figure? Because this is the percentage that PASOK registers in the polls – except when pushed by the surrounding atmosphere created by various media and the cries of the shouting minority – and which is the cause of the internal party cries of stuck needle.<\/b><\/p>\n
It is almost certain that PASOK will lose voters to a Tsipras party. At the same time, a Tsipras party has a specific pool of voters to which it appeals after they have moved away from… rebranding the centre. <\/b>It appeals to voters who moved to PASOK and those who stayed with SYRIZA or moved to the side of Zoe Konstantopoulou<\/b> and Yanis Varoufakis<\/b>, or even those who voted for New Left in the European elections.<\/p>\n
It is also almost certain that not all of them will go to the new call of the messiah and will remain in the parties they consider to be truly anti-systemic or even in Syriza if it passes into the hands of Pavlos Polakis.<\/b><\/p>\n
Now on the other hand, a Karystianos party will hit Zoe Konstantopoulou, maybe even the Tsipras party when this happens by picking up anti-systemicists and the parties to the right of the Southwest who basically built political careers on the Tempi tragedy and various conspiracy theories. <\/p>\n
In any case, in the battle or rather the war that will evolve beyond the second place and who gets it, the… score matters.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Analysts and pollsters are converging on the view of a battle for second place between Tsipras, Androulakis, and perhaps Karystianos.
\nThe fact that the …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4925,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4924","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4924"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4924\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4925"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.tomanifesto.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}