In last Sunday’s referendum, Swiss citizens rejected the initiative of the right-wing People’s Party (SVP) by 54.79%.
It called for the permanent population not to exceed 10 million by 2050, with automatic restrictions on asylum, family reunification, and a possible revision of the free movement agreement with the EU.
Switzerland, with a current population of approximately 9.1 million (an increase of about 25% since 2002, mainly due to immigration from the EU), faces pressures on housing, infrastructure, and the environment. The rejection of the proposal indicates that the majority prioritized economic stability and relations with the EU. Businesses and the government warned of labor shortages in technology, healthcare, and tourism, while many pointed out that a “yes” vote would amount to a “Swiss Brexit.”
The vote, however, revealed deep divisions. The rural, German-speaking cantons (e.g., Schwyz, Uri, Appenzell, St. Gallen), where immigration is seen as a threat to the way of life, gave strong support to the “Yes” vote. In contrast, urban centers and French-speaking cantons (Geneva, Vaud, Neuchâtel, Basel-Stadt, Zurich) voted overwhelmingly “No” (often >60%). Ticino (Italian-speaking) was more divided. High turnout in cities bolstered the “No” vote.
Regarding voting by age group, pre-referendum polls (YouGov, gfs.bern) showed higher support among men (43% vs. 31% among women) and those aged 45–59, while younger voters (18–29) were more opposed (~20% “Yes”). Older voters were split, but more conservative in rural areas. Women and young people were more concerned about the economic consequences.
Although 45% of “Yes” voters expressed concerns about overpopulation, the majority was not convinced. However, the SVP managed to mobilize its base—and beyond—around its proposal. However, economic arguments and the fear of isolation prevailed. The referendum highlights tensions in a country where 28–30% of the population is foreign-born, without, however, drastically changing policy. The issue of immigration remains open for future votes.
