Donald Trump says that negotiations with Iran are continuing immediately, but leaving spikes for the possibility of a rupture.

Note that the ceasefire remains fragile and linked to a specific timetable.

Talking to reporters on a flight to Washington, he said contacts would take place this weekend. At the same time, he spoke of positive signs,but did not go into details. “We are negotiating this weekend.” At the same time, he hinted that there is “quite a bit of good news”.

However, he made it clear that if there is no agreement by next Wednesday (4/22), the ceasefire could end. “Maybe don’t extend it… there is a blockade and unfortunately we may have to start dropping bombs again,” he said.

New round of contacts

US and Iranian delegations are expected to go to Pakistan, aiming for talks on Monday (20/4) with the 15-day ceasefire deadline pressing for an outcome.

Washington appears confident that progress has been made on key issues. On the flip side, Tehran rejects US assessments. Note that Iranian officials express concern that strong public rhetoric is undermining diplomacy.

Uranium issue in focus

Iran’s enriched uranium remains a key issue. Trump insists that the US will ensure its control regardless of the outcome of the talks.

He outlined yet another scenario of joint management and transfer of the material. Analysts, however, note that such an undertaking would require difficult operational conditions.

Trump’s use of the term “nuclear dust” – a term not recognized in international nuclear terminology – also caused a backlash.

“Thorns” in the Strait of Hormuz

Trump has made it clear that no “tariffs” will be allowed on the Iranian side. He even warned of interference with ships that comply with such practices.

For his part, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf threatened a complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz if the US blockade is not lifted. He stressed that decisions would be taken “on the ground and not through social media”.

Naval blockade and expanding operations

The US naval blockade has already had an impact with over 20 ships having returned to Iranian ports since the measures began.

The US activity extends beyond the Middle East. Gen. Dan Kaine said inspection operations will continue in the Indo-Pacific.

Sea lanes such as the Straits of Malacca, where sanctioned tankers operate, are also under the microscope.

How international markets are reacting

International markets are reacting with cautious optimism. It should be noted that the partial de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices down.

At the same time, indices such as the S&P 500 are moving higher, embodying expectations of stabilization.

Also, the US side also took temporary actions on the energy market, seeking to limit any turbulence.

It is clear that the possibility of another escalation remains open. The decisions taken will affect not only the region but also the global balance.

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